Jessica Pegula
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1925.
- Wins 69% of deciding sets — a genuine closer.
- On a 3-match winning streak in our database.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Jessica Pegula sits in the world-class band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 66-23 (74.2%) across 89 matches — hard 52-16, clay 14-6, grass 0-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
Is Jessica Pegula in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jessica Pegula has gone 3-2 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Jessica Pegula's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Jessica Pegula's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1925 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 38-10.
How does Jessica Pegula perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.116 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Jessica Pegula's career win rate?
Jessica Pegula has won 66 of 89 matches in our database (74.2%). By surface: hard 52-16, clay 14-6, grass 0-1.
How often does Jessica Pegula hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jessica Pegula to hold 74.0% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Jessica Pegula?
Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Jessica Pegula. Record: 1 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Jessica Pegula play on?
Jessica Pegula competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling