Luca Nardi
- Strongest on clay — weighted Elo 1916.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Luca Nardi sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 164-141 (53.8%) across 305 matches — hard 106-86, clay 56-48, grass 2-7. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
How old is Luca Nardi?
Luca Nardi was born on 06 August 2003, making them 22 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Luca Nardi in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Luca Nardi has gone 1-4 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Luca Nardi's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Luca Nardi's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1916 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 0-0.
How does Luca Nardi perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.444 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Luca Nardi's career win rate?
Luca Nardi has won 164 of 305 matches in our database (53.8%). By surface: hard 106-86, clay 56-48, grass 2-7.
How often does Luca Nardi hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Luca Nardi to hold 62.6% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
What tour does Luca Nardi play on?
Luca Nardi competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-07. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling