fault.betPlayersLuka Pavlovic
ATP · Player Profile

Luka Pavlovic

ATP · France · Updated 06 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-24
At a glance · Luka Pavlovic

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
12 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
12d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 4 months↑ +125 pts

Model carry-in

Luka Pavlovic sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 143-120 (54.4%) across 263 matches — hard 24-34, clay 118-83, grass 1-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1633
Hard
1597
Grass
1519
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Dusan Obradovic 4 meetings4–0
Bastien Prod'Homme 4 meetings3–1
Mihai Alexandru Coman 3 meetings3–0
Andrey Chepelev 3 meetings2–1
Zoran Ludoski 3 meetings2–1
Rrezart Cungu 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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157W 208L · +15.7% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Luka Pavlovic’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2080
top tier
Grass Welo
1519
-560 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.353
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1597 (-483)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-2
Clay
Welo1633 (-447)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-1
Grass
Welo1519 (-560)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-24
Hold rate service games won100.0%
Break rate return games won16.7%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo54.4%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo44.9%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Jaime FariaWimbledon · 2026-06-24 · G · R326-4 6-4
W vs Mark LajalWimbledon · 2026-06-22 · G · R326-4 6-4
L vs Joao FonsecaRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R327-6 6-4 6-2
W vs Darwin BlanchRoland Garros · 2026-05-22 · C · R326-2 6-4
W vs Tomas Barrios VeraRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-2 6-7 6-2
W vs Harry WendelkenRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R323-6 7-6 6-2
L vs Botic Van De ZandschulpABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament · 2026-02-09 · H · R1287-6 6-3
L vs Hamad MedjedovicRotterdam ATP 2026 · 2026-02-08 · H ·
W vs Billy HarrisRotterdam ATP 2026 · 2026-02-07 · H ·
W vs Beibit ZhukayevWimbledon ATP · 2025-06-26 · H ·
Career splits
Overall143-120 (54.4%)
Hard24-34 (41.4%)
Clay118-83 (58.7%)
Grass1-1 (50.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Luka Pavlovic?

Luka Pavlovic was born on 30 March 2000, making them 26 years old and represents France. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Luka Pavlovic in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Luka Pavlovic has gone 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Luka Pavlovic's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Luka Pavlovic's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1633 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 3-1.

How does Luka Pavlovic perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.353 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Luka Pavlovic's career win rate?

Luka Pavlovic has won 143 of 263 matches in our database (54.4%). By surface: hard 24-34, clay 118-83, grass 1-1.

What tour does Luka Pavlovic play on?

Luka Pavlovic competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling