fault.betPlayersMatej Dodig
ATP · Player Profile

Matej Dodig

ATP · Croatia · Updated 06 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-24
At a glance · Matej Dodig

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
12 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
12d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -19 pts

Model carry-in

Matej Dodig sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 92-45 (67.2%) across 137 matches — hard 20-9, clay 69-34, grass 1-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1784
Clay
1633
Grass
1503
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Luka Mikrut 4 meetings0–4
Fausto Tabacco 3 meetings3–0
Stefan Popovic 3 meetings3–0
Federico Arnaboldi 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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157W 208L · +15.7% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Matej Dodig’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
Weighted Elo
2079
top tier
Grass Welo
1503
-575 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.388
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1784 (-295)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-0
Clay
Welo1633 (-446)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Grass
Welo1503 (-575)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-24
Hold rate service games won78.9%
Break rate return games won15.0%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo57.8%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo64.1%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerWimbledon · 2026-06-24 · G · R326-2 7-6
W vs Frederico Ferreira SilvaWimbledon · 2026-06-22 · G · R323-6 7-6 7-6
L vs Hugo DellienRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-1 6-4
W vs Zhong YiRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R321-6 6-3 7-5
W vs Francesco PassaroUmag ATP · 2025-07-20 · H ·
L vs Nikoloz BasilashviliYokohama CH · 2024-11-18 · H · R326-4 2-6 6-4
L vs Taro DanielKobe CH · 2024-11-11 · H · R166-2 6-2
W vs Naoki NakagawaKobe CH · 2024-11-11 · H · R326-4 6-7(4) 7-5
L vs Alex BoltMatsuyama CH · 2024-11-04 · H · R326-2 3-0 RET
L vs Dennis NovakValencia CH · 2024-10-07 · C · R326-0 6-1
Career splits
Overall92-45 (67.2%)
Hard20-9 (69.0%)
Clay69-34 (67.0%)
Grass1-1 (50.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Matej Dodig?

Matej Dodig was born on 19 July 2005, making them 20 years old and represents Croatia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Matej Dodig in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Matej Dodig has gone 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Matej Dodig's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Matej Dodig's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1784 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 1-0.

How does Matej Dodig perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.388 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Matej Dodig's career win rate?

Matej Dodig has won 92 of 137 matches in our database (67.2%). By surface: hard 20-9, clay 69-34, grass 1-1.

What tour does Matej Dodig play on?

Matej Dodig competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling