Naomi Osaka
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1879.
- Wins 60% of deciding sets — a genuine closer.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Naomi Osaka sits in the top tier band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 31-16 (66.0%) across 47 matches — hard 21-11, clay 8-4, grass 2-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
Is Naomi Osaka in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Naomi Osaka has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Naomi Osaka's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Naomi Osaka's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1879 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 16-7.
How does Naomi Osaka perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.182 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Naomi Osaka's career win rate?
Naomi Osaka has won 31 of 47 matches in our database (66.0%). By surface: hard 21-11, clay 8-4, grass 2-1.
How often does Naomi Osaka hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Naomi Osaka to hold 73.0% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Naomi Osaka?
Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Naomi Osaka. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Naomi Osaka play on?
Naomi Osaka competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling