fault.betPlayersPeyton Stearns
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WTA · Player Profile

Peyton Stearns

WTA · United States · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchToday · 11:00
vs Kimberly Birrell
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Grass
Our model44%Market42%Price2.36Edge+1.8%
At a glance · Peyton Stearns

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
1 day rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 12 months↓ -169 pts

Model carry-in

Peyton Stearns sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 162-105 (60.7%) across 267 matches — hard 113-76, clay 46-27, grass 3-2. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1916
Clay
1863
Grass
1486
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1061.3%
Hold rate vs 11–5062.3%
Hold rate vs 51–10069.9%
Hold rate vs 100+69.8%

How well Peyton Stearns holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Emma Navarro 5 meetings1–4
Tin Pongracic 4 meetings3–1
Ninoslav Knapic 3 meetings3–0
Katherine Sebov 3 meetings3–0
Adriana Reami 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1948
tour median
Grass Welo
1425
-523 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.136
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
67.6%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1916 (-31)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w18-12
Clay
Welo1863 (-85)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-2
Grass
Welo1425 (-523)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-0
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won66.2%
Break rate return games won37.1%
First serve in 1st serves landing in60.1%
Ace rate aces per service point41.4%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo62.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo35.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down13.6%
Collapse rate lost from a set up13.9%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Emily AppletonLexus Eastbourne Open · 2026-06-20 · G · R327-5 6-3
L vs Belinda BencicRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R326-3 6-3
W vs Daria SnigurRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-4 6-0
W vs Sofia KeninRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R326-3 6-3
L vs Daria KasatkinaInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-19 · H · R326-1 6-3
W vs Maria SakkariInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-17 · H · R326-3 6-1
L vs Madison KeysInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R324-6 6-4 6-2
W vs Janice TjenInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · H · R326-4 6-4
L vs Aliona BolsovaCatalonia Open Solgironès · 2026-04-28 · H · R326-4 5-7 7-6
L vs Aryna SabalenkaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R327-5 6-3
Career splits
Overall162-105 (60.7%)
Hard113-76 (59.8%)
Clay46-27 (63.0%)
Grass3-2 (60.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Jaqueline CristianMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-20 · H@ 1.81 · LOST · -2.00u
Frequently asked
How old is Peyton Stearns?

Peyton Stearns was born on 08 October 2001, making them 24 years old and represents United States. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Peyton Stearns in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Peyton Stearns has gone 3-2 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Peyton Stearns's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Peyton Stearns's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1916 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 18-12.

How does Peyton Stearns perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.136 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Peyton Stearns's career win rate?

Peyton Stearns has won 162 of 267 matches in our database (60.7%). By surface: hard 113-76, clay 46-27, grass 3-2.

How often does Peyton Stearns hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Peyton Stearns to hold 67.6% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Peyton Stearns?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Peyton Stearns. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Peyton Stearns play on?

Peyton Stearns competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Peyton Stearns: 0W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling