fault.betPlayersSebastian Ofner
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ATP · Player Profile

Sebastian Ofner

ATP · Austria · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-26
At a glance · Sebastian Ofner

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 3L streak
Fitness
Limited recent action
28 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
28d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 10 months↓ -24 pts

Model carry-in

Sebastian Ofner sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 359-290 (55.3%) across 649 matches — hard 157-132, clay 175-138, grass 27-20. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1895
Hard
1826
Grass
1665
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1055.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5070.4%
Hold rate vs 51–10083.6%
Hold rate vs 100+91.7%

How well Sebastian Ofner holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Ramkumar Ramanathan 7 meetings2–5
Lenny Hampel 5 meetings5–0
Jurij Rodionov 5 meetings4–1
Ruben Bemelmans 5 meetings3–2
Lucas Miedler 4 meetings4–0

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2084
top tier
Clay Welo
1895
-188 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.425
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1826 (-258)
Hold % (52w)80.6%
Last 52w2-6
Clay
Welo1895 (-188)
Hold % (52w)83.8%
Last 52w3-5
Grass
Welo1665 (-419)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-26
Hold rate service games won88.9%
Break rate return games won4.2%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo51.4%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo54.3%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Luciano DarderiRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R327-6 6-2 6-3
L vs Kilian FeldbauschGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-16 · C · R326-4 6-0
L vs Jannik SinnerInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R326-3 6-4
W vs Alex MichelsenInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R326-3 6-3
L vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R326-4 6-4
W vs Nikoloz BasilashviliMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-22 · C · R327-6 7-6
L vs Alex De MinaurBarcelona Open · 2026-04-14 · C · R1287-6 6-4
W vs Patrick KypsonBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-12 · C · R326-4 6-4
W vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-11 · C · R326-4 6-4
L vs Leo BorgNordic Open · 2025-10-13 · H · R1286-3 6-4
Career splits
Overall359-290 (55.3%)
Hard157-132 (54.3%)
Clay175-138 (55.9%)
Grass27-20 (57.4%)
Frequently asked
How old is Sebastian Ofner?

Sebastian Ofner was born on 12 May 1996, making them 30 years old and represents Austria. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Sebastian Ofner in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Sebastian Ofner has gone 1-4 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Sebastian Ofner's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Sebastian Ofner's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1895 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 3-5.

How does Sebastian Ofner perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.425 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Sebastian Ofner's career win rate?

Sebastian Ofner has won 359 of 649 matches in our database (55.3%). By surface: hard 157-132, clay 175-138, grass 27-20.

What tour does Sebastian Ofner play on?

Sebastian Ofner competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-26. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling