Jannik Sinner
- Holds serve 89% of the time even against top-10 opposition.
- Strongest on clay — weighted Elo 2074.
- Wins 67% of deciding sets — a genuine closer.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Jannik Sinner sits in the world-class band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 473-203 (70.0%) across 676 matches — hard 304-89, clay 138-99, grass 30-12. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Jannik Sinner holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Jannik Sinner?
Jannik Sinner was born on 16 August 2001, making them 24 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Jannik Sinner in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jannik Sinner has gone 4-1 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Jannik Sinner's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Jannik Sinner's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 2074 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 13-1.
How does Jannik Sinner perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.045 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Jannik Sinner's career win rate?
Jannik Sinner has won 473 of 676 matches in our database (70.0%). By surface: hard 304-89, clay 138-99, grass 30-12.
How often does Jannik Sinner hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jannik Sinner to hold 97.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
What tour does Jannik Sinner play on?
Jannik Sinner competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-15. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling