Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
MODEL PICK: DANIIL MEDVEDEV
The model makes Daniil Medvedev the favourite to beat Marin Cilic in the Men's Singles at Libéma Open. The market currently prices Daniil Medvedev around 1.60. Whether that price is value against our fair line — and by how much — is exactly what subscribers get before play starts. When the edge is big enough it becomes a signal, and every signal is tracked publicly, wins and losses, on the results page.
The numbers behind it
| Marin Cilic | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Weighted Elo | 1810 | 2060 |
| Projected serve hold | 79% | 77% |
| Choke index (lower is better) | 0.417 | 0.296 |
| Pressure rating | MEDIUM | LOW |
Numbers from the fault.bet model — 160+ features over 1.6M professional matches, surface-adjusted. See the full Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev head-to-head.
How we make this prediction
Our model prices every ATP and WTA match from serve and return form, surface-specific Elo, fatigue, schedule strength and pressure metrics like the choke index. When its probability disagrees with the betting market by enough, that match becomes a signal for subscribers — every one logged publicly, wins and losses, on the results page.
This page is a model output, not betting advice. Odds move; check current prices before betting. 18+ only · BeGambleAware.org.