Daniil Medvedev
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1965.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Daniil Medvedev sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 594-250 (70.4%) across 844 matches — hard 432-166, clay 90-53, grass 60-26. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Daniil Medvedev holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Daniil Medvedev?
Daniil Medvedev was born on 11 February 1996, making them 30 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Daniil Medvedev in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Daniil Medvedev has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Daniil Medvedev's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Daniil Medvedev's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1965 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 44-21.
How does Daniil Medvedev perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.296 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Daniil Medvedev's career win rate?
Daniil Medvedev has won 594 of 844 matches in our database (70.4%). By surface: hard 432-166, clay 90-53, grass 60-26.
How often does Daniil Medvedev hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Daniil Medvedev to hold 76.6% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Daniil Medvedev?
Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Daniil Medvedev. Record: 0 wins, 3 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Daniil Medvedev play on?
Daniil Medvedev competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-13. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling