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ATP · Player Profile

Marin Cilic

ATP · Croatia · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-13
At a glance · Marin Cilic

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -64 pts

Model carry-in

Marin Cilic sits in the challenger crossover band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them above their overall number — a clear surface specialism. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 687-400 (63.2%) across 1087 matches — hard 420-248, clay 178-110, grass 83-35. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1940
Hard
1919
Grass
1792
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1083.1%
Hold rate vs 11–5085.3%
Hold rate vs 51–10092.7%
Hold rate vs 100+91.1%

How well Marin Cilic holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Kei Nishikori 16 meetings6–10
Andy Murray 16 meetings3–13
Fernando Verdasco 15 meetings10–5
Stan Wawrinka 15 meetings2–13
Philipp Kohlschreiber 13 meetings5–8

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1810
challenger crossover
Grass Welo
1899
+89 above overall · surface specialism
Choke Index
0.417
tour-median
Projected Hold
78.7%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1919 (+109)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w16-15
Clay
Welo1940 (+130)
Hold % (52w)89.3%
Last 52w2-5
Grass
Welo1899 (+89)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-13
Hold rate service games won74.4%
Break rate return games won27.4%
First serve in 1st serves landing in46.5%
Ace rate aces per service point37.6%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo44.4%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo80.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down41.7%
Collapse rate lost from a set up26.6%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Ugo HumbertHSBC Championships · 2026-06-16 · H · R327-5 6-3
L vs Daniil MedvedevLibéma Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R326-2 3-6 6-1
W vs Nuno BorgesLibéma Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R323-6 7-6 6-3
W vs Denis ShapovalovLibéma Open · 2026-06-08 · H · R326-7 6-4 7-5
L vs Moise KouameRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R327-6 6-2 6-1
L vs Martin LandaluceInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · C · R646-4 6-4
L vs Martin LandaluceInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R326-4 6-4
W vs Marcos GironInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R327-5 6-4
L vs Joao FonsecaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R32
W vs Zizou BergsMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-22 · C · R324-6 6-3 6-4
Career splits
Overall687-400 (63.2%)
Hard420-248 (62.9%)
Clay178-110 (61.8%)
Grass83-35 (70.3%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Ugo HumbertHSBC Championships · 2026-06-16 · H@ 2.28 · LOST · -0.81u
Faded vs Marin CilicATP 's-Hertogenbosch 2026 · 2026-06-11 · G@ 2.10 · LOST · -0.92u
Faded vs Marin CilicRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C@ 3.65 · WON · +1.35u
Backed vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-04-21@ 1.92 · WON · +0.92u
Faded vs Marin CilicBMW Open by Bitpanda · 2026-04-13 · H@ 2.08 · WON · +1.80u
Frequently asked
How old is Marin Cilic?

Marin Cilic was born on 28 September 1988, making them 37 years old and represents Croatia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Marin Cilic in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Marin Cilic has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Marin Cilic's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Marin Cilic's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1940 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 2-5.

How does Marin Cilic perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.417 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Marin Cilic's career win rate?

Marin Cilic has won 687 of 1087 matches in our database (63.2%). By surface: hard 420-248, clay 178-110, grass 83-35.

How often does Marin Cilic hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Marin Cilic to hold 78.7% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Marin Cilic?

Yes — we've issued 5 settled signals involving Marin Cilic. Record: 3 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Marin Cilic play on?

Marin Cilic competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Marin Cilic: 3W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-13. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling