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ATP · Player Profile

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

ATP · Argentina · Updated 13 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-27
At a glance · Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
17 days rest · 6 matches in 28d
Last match
17d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +129 pts

Model carry-in

Camilo Ugo Carabelli sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 779-476 (62.1%) across 1255 matches — hard 216-150, clay 413-240, grass 79-35. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1906
Hard
1859
Grass
1793
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1056.2%
Hold rate vs 51–10068.8%
Hold rate vs 100+74.0%

How well Camilo Ugo Carabelli holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Kasper Elsvad 21 meetings1–20
Daniel Krashin 13 meetings5–8
Hugo Daubias 12 meetings7–5
Athanasios Zannias 12 meetings7–5
Patrick Mufumbila 12 meetings6–6

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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135W 168L · +19.3% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2103
top tier
Clay Welo
1906
-197 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.345
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
63.4%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1859 (-244)
Hold % (52w)70.5%
Last 52w10-17
Clay
Welo1906 (-197)
Hold % (52w)84.5%
Last 52w12-9
Grass
Welo1793 (-310)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-27
Hold rate service games won84.0%
Break rate return games won14.3%
First serve in 1st serves landing in28.4%
Ace rate aces per service point16.8%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo54.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo58.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-1 1-6 6-3 7-6
W vs Emilio NavaRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R327-6 6-3 6-3
L vs Andrej KovacevicHamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C · QF6-4 6-7 6-2
L vs Aleksandar KovacevicBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C · R326-4 6-7 6-2
W vs Frances TiafoeBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R327-6 7-6
W vs Kamil MajchrzakBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-18 · C · R321-6 6-2 6-3
L vs Alexander ShevchenkoInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · H · R326-3 4-6 7-6
L vs Flavio CobolliMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C · R326-7 6-1 6-4
W vs Gael MonfilsMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R326-3 6-4
L vs Rafael JodarBarcelona Open · 2026-04-15 · C · R646-3 6-3
Career splits
Overall779-476 (62.1%)
Hard216-150 (59.0%)
Clay413-240 (63.2%)
Grass79-35 (69.3%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C@ 3.40 · WON
Backed vs Flavio CobolliMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C@ 2.96 · LOST · -0.53u
Faded vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliGrand Prix Hassan II · 2026-04-03 · H@ 2.16 · LOST · -1.95u
Frequently asked
How old is Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli was born on 17 June 1999, making them 26 years old and represents Argentina. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Camilo Ugo Carabelli in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Camilo Ugo Carabelli has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Camilo Ugo Carabelli's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Camilo Ugo Carabelli's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1906 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 12-9.

How does Camilo Ugo Carabelli perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.345 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Camilo Ugo Carabelli's career win rate?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 779 of 1255 matches in our database (62.1%). By surface: hard 216-150, clay 413-240, grass 79-35.

How often does Camilo Ugo Carabelli hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Camilo Ugo Carabelli to hold 63.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Record: 1 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Camilo Ugo Carabelli play on?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Camilo Ugo Carabelli: 1W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-27. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling