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ATP · Player Profile

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

ATP · Argentina · Updated 28 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-07-20
At a glance · Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
8 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
8d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +96 pts

Model carry-in

Camilo Ugo Carabelli sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 782-479 (62.0%) across 1261 matches — hard 216-150, clay 416-242, grass 79-36. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1889
Hard
1859
Grass
1780
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1056.2%
Hold rate vs 51–10068.8%
Hold rate vs 100+74.0%

How well Camilo Ugo Carabelli holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Kasper Elsvad 21 meetings1–20
Daniel Krashin 13 meetings5–8
Hugo Daubias 12 meetings7–5
Athanasios Zannias 12 meetings7–5
Patrick Mufumbila 12 meetings6–6

Full data & recent form

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A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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180W 241L · +23.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Camilo Ugo Carabelli’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2070
top tier
Clay Welo
1889
-182 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.344
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1859 (-212)
Hold % (52w)70.5%
Last 52w9-16
Clay
Welo1889 (-182)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w11-8
Grass
Welo1780 (-290)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-07-20
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo54.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo58.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Titouan DroguetMillennium Estoril Open · 2026-07-20 · C · R326-0 3-6 6-4
L vs Roman Andres BurruchagaPlava Laguna Croatia Open Umag · 2026-07-16 · C · R326-2 2-6 6-3
W vs Pablo Carreno BustaPlava Laguna Croatia Open Umag · 2026-07-15 · C · R323-6 7-5 7-5
W vs Valeria CarrenoCroatia Open · 2026-07-15 · C · R643-6 7-5 7-5
W vs Marko TopoPlava Laguna Croatia Open Umag · 2026-07-14 · C · R326-7 7-6 6-3
L vs Daniel MeridaWimbledon · 2026-06-29 · G · R324-6 3-6 6-2 3-0
L vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-1 1-6 6-3 7-6
W vs Emilio NavaRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R327-6 6-3 6-3
L vs Andrej KovacevicHamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C · QF6-4 6-7 6-2
L vs Aleksandar KovacevicBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C · R326-4 6-7 6-2
Career splits
Overall782-479 (62.0%)
Hard216-150 (59.0%)
Clay416-242 (63.2%)
Grass79-36 (68.7%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C@ 3.40 · WON
Backed vs Flavio CobolliMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C@ 2.96 · LOST · -0.53u
Faded vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliGrand Prix Hassan II · 2026-04-03 · H@ 2.16 · LOST · -1.95u
Frequently asked
How old is Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli was born on 17 June 1999, making them 27 years old and represents Argentina. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Camilo Ugo Carabelli in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Camilo Ugo Carabelli has gone 3-2 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Camilo Ugo Carabelli's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Camilo Ugo Carabelli's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1889 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 11-8.

How does Camilo Ugo Carabelli perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.344 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Camilo Ugo Carabelli's career win rate?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 782 of 1261 matches in our database (62.0%). By surface: hard 216-150, clay 416-242, grass 79-36.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Record: 1 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Camilo Ugo Carabelli play on?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Camilo Ugo Carabelli: 1W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-07-20. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling