fault.betPlayersMarketa Vondrousova
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WTA · Player Profile

Marketa Vondrousova

WTA · Czech Republic · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-01-13
At a glance · Marketa Vondrousova

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Returning from break
161 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
161d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 6 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Marketa Vondrousova sits in the world-class band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 209-96 (68.5%) across 305 matches — hard 125-59, clay 73-28, grass 9-8. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
2039
Clay
1805
Grass
1644
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1064.3%
Hold rate vs 11–5080.7%
Hold rate vs 51–10084.6%

How well Marketa Vondrousova holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Alejandro Madrigal Alpizar 6 meetings2–4
George Houghton 4 meetings3–1
Lornzo Boveri 4 meetings3–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2326
world-class
Hard Welo
2039
-286 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.335
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
63.4%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2039 (-286)
Hold % (52w)78.6%
Last 52w9-3
Clay
Welo1805 (-520)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1644 (-682)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-01-13
Hold rate service games won83.3%
Break rate return games won11.1%
First serve in 1st serves landing in65.7%
Ace rate aces per service point61.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo47.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo54.5%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Liudmila SamsonovaAdelaide International · 2026-01-13 · H · R1286-1 4-6 6-2
L vs Magdalena FrechBrisbane International · 2026-01-05 · H · R1287-5 6-7 7-6
W vs Karolina MuchovaTokyo WTA · 2025-10-20 · H ·
W vs Elena RybakinaUS Open · 2025-09-01 · H · R166-4 5-7 6-2
W vs Jasmine PaoliniUS Open · 2025-08-29 · H · R327-6 6-1
W vs Mcclain KesslerUS Open · 2025-08-28 · H · R647-6 6-2
W vs Oksana SelekhmetevaUS Open · 2025-08-24 · H · R1286-3 7-6
L vs Aryna SabalenkaWestern & Southern Financial Group Women's Open · 2025-08-10 · H · R647-5 6-1
W vs Jaqueline CristianWestern & Southern Financial Group Women's Open · 2025-08-07 · H · R1286-3 6-1
L vs Marta KostyukCanadian Open · 2025-07-29 · H · R642-6 6-3 6-2
Career splits
Overall209-96 (68.5%)
Hard125-59 (67.9%)
Clay73-28 (72.3%)
Grass9-8 (52.9%)
Frequently asked
How old is Marketa Vondrousova?

Marketa Vondrousova was born on 28 June 1999, making them 26 years old and represents Czech Republic. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Marketa Vondrousova in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Marketa Vondrousova has gone 4-1 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Marketa Vondrousova's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Marketa Vondrousova's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2039 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 9-3.

How does Marketa Vondrousova perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.335 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Marketa Vondrousova's career win rate?

Marketa Vondrousova has won 209 of 305 matches in our database (68.5%). By surface: hard 125-59, clay 73-28, grass 9-8.

How often does Marketa Vondrousova hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Marketa Vondrousova to hold 63.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Marketa Vondrousova play on?

Marketa Vondrousova competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-01-13. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling