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ATP · Player Profile

Jason Kubler

ATP · Australia · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-01-18
At a glance · Jason Kubler

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Returning from break
156 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
156d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 3 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Jason Kubler sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 381-207 (64.8%) across 588 matches — hard 139-86, clay 212-106, grass 30-15. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1868
Clay
1683
Grass
1586
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
James Duckworth 5 meetings1–4
Maverick Banes 4 meetings3–1
Omar Jasika 4 meetings2–2
Hiroki Moriya 4 meetings2–2
Lorenzo Giustino 4 meetings2–2
Daniel Elahi Galan 4 meetings1–3

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2174
top tier
Hard Welo
1868
-306 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.365
tour-median
Projected Hold
62.9%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1868 (-306)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-2
Clay
Welo1683 (-491)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1586 (-588)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-01-18
Hold rate service games won55.6%
Break rate return games won36.4%
First serve in 1st serves landing in60.3%
Ace rate aces per service point11.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo55.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo57.1%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Frances TiafoeAustralian Open · 2026-01-18 · H · R1287-6 6-3 6-2
L vs Yannick HanfmannShanghai ATP · 2025-09-30 · H ·
W vs Chak Lam Coleman WongShanghai ATP · 2025-09-29 · H ·
W vs Blake MottM25 Carrara · 2024-11-25 · H · R166-2 6-4
L vs Matthew DellavedovaM25 Carrara · 2024-11-25 · H · F3-6 6-3 6-2
W vs Moerani BouzigeM25 Carrara · 2024-11-25 · H · SF6-1 6-2
W vs Thomas BraithwaiteM25 Carrara · 2024-11-25 · H · QF6-4 6-4
W vs Edward WinterM25 Carrara · 2024-11-25 · H · R326-4 6-4
L vs Blake MottM25 Brisbane · 2024-11-11 · H · SF6-4 6-4
W vs Colin SinclairM25 Brisbane · 2024-11-11 · H · R166-4 6-4
Career splits
Overall381-207 (64.8%)
Hard139-86 (61.8%)
Clay212-106 (66.7%)
Grass30-15 (66.7%)
Frequently asked
How old is Jason Kubler?

Jason Kubler was born on 19 May 1993, making them 33 years old and represents Australia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Jason Kubler in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jason Kubler has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Jason Kubler's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Jason Kubler's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1868 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 1-2.

How does Jason Kubler perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.365 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Jason Kubler's career win rate?

Jason Kubler has won 381 of 588 matches in our database (64.8%). By surface: hard 139-86, clay 212-106, grass 30-15.

How often does Jason Kubler hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jason Kubler to hold 62.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Jason Kubler play on?

Jason Kubler competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-01-18. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling