Frances Tiafoe
- Holds serve 87% of the time even against top-10 opposition.
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1919.
- Wins 64% of deciding sets — a genuine closer.
- On a 5-match winning streak in our database.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Frances Tiafoe sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 406-294 (58.0%) across 700 matches — hard 274-201, clay 99-70, grass 33-23. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Frances Tiafoe holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Frances Tiafoe?
Frances Tiafoe was born on 20 January 1998, making them 28 years old and represents United States. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Frances Tiafoe in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Frances Tiafoe has gone 5-0 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Frances Tiafoe's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Frances Tiafoe's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1919 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 32-17.
How does Frances Tiafoe perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.500 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Frances Tiafoe's career win rate?
Frances Tiafoe has won 406 of 700 matches in our database (58.0%). By surface: hard 274-201, clay 99-70, grass 33-23.
How often does Frances Tiafoe hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Frances Tiafoe to hold 85.6% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Frances Tiafoe?
Yes — we've issued 5 settled signals involving Frances Tiafoe. Record: 2 wins, 3 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Frances Tiafoe play on?
Frances Tiafoe competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
Daily ATP signals + full player dashboards
Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-30. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling