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ATP · Player Profile

Rafael Jodar

ATP · Spain · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-13
At a glance · Rafael Jodar

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
19 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
19d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 4 months↑ +48 pts

Model carry-in

Rafael Jodar sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 32-21 (60.4%) across 53 matches — hard 11-12, clay 21-9. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
2004
Hard
1919

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2183
top tier
Clay Welo
2095
-89 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.250
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
84.9%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1919 (-265)
Hold % (52w)82.2%
Last 52w10-10
Clay
Welo2095 (-89)
Hold % (52w)87.7%
Last 52w15-3
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-13
Hold rate service games won82.7%
Break rate return games won26.7%
First serve in 1st serves landing in62.2%
Ace rate aces per service point14.2%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo62.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo81.8%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down42.3%
Collapse rate lost from a set up15.9%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Alexander ZverevRoland Garros · 2026-06-02 · C · R327-6 6-1 6-3
W vs Pablo Carreno BustaRoland Garros · 2026-05-31 · C · R324-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2
W vs Alex MichelsenRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R327-6 6-7 4-6 6-3 6-3
W vs James DuckworthRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-1 6-7 6-4 7-5
W vs Aleksandar KovacevicRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-1 6-0 6-4
L vs Luciano DarderiInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-13 · H · R327-6 5-7 6-0
W vs Learner TienInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-12 · H · R326-1 6-4
W vs Matteo ArnaldiInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-10 · H · R326-1 4-6 6-3
W vs Nuno BorgesInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R327-6 6-4
L vs Jannik SinnerMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-29 · C · R326-2 7-6
Career splits
Overall32-21 (60.4%)
Hard11-12 (47.8%)
Clay21-9 (70.0%)
Grass
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Rafael JodarInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-12 · C@ 4.50 · LOST · -0.46u
Faded vs Rafael JodarATP Rome 2026 · 2026-05-10 · C@ 3.80 · LOST · -0.49u
Faded vs Rafael JodarMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-26 · C@ 2.18 · LOST · -0.92u
Faded vs Rafael JodarBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-18 · C@ 1.69 · WON · +1.38u
Faded vs Rafael JodarGrand Prix Hassan II · 2026-04-03 · H@ 2.86 · LOST · -1.26u
Faded vs Rafael JodarGrand Prix Hassan II · 2026-04-02 · H@ 1.85 · LOST · -1.91u
Faded vs Rafael JodarMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-22 · H@ 2.28 · LOST · -1.32u
Frequently asked
How old is Rafael Jodar?

Rafael Jodar was born on 17 September 2006, making them 19 years old and represents Spain. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Rafael Jodar in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Rafael Jodar has gone 4-1 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Rafael Jodar's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Rafael Jodar's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 2004 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 15-3.

How does Rafael Jodar perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.250 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Rafael Jodar's career win rate?

Rafael Jodar has won 32 of 53 matches in our database (60.4%). By surface: hard 11-12, clay 21-9, grass 0-0.

How often does Rafael Jodar hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Rafael Jodar to hold 84.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Rafael Jodar?

Yes — we've issued 7 settled signals involving Rafael Jodar. Record: 1 wins, 6 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Rafael Jodar play on?

Rafael Jodar competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Rafael Jodar: 1W 6L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-13. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling