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ATP · Player Profile

Nick Kyrgios

ATP · Australia · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-22
At a glance · Nick Kyrgios

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
1 day rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 5 months↓ -177 pts

Model carry-in

Nick Kyrgios sits in the world-class band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 266-144 (64.9%) across 410 matches — hard 183-96, clay 41-25, grass 42-23. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
2052
Clay
1732
Grass
1604
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1093.6%
Hold rate vs 11–5093.9%
Hold rate vs 51–10094.6%
Hold rate vs 100+93.9%

How well Nick Kyrgios holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Rafael Nadal 10 meetings4–6
Richard Gasquet 8 meetings2–6
Roger Federer 8 meetings1–7
Milos Raonic 7 meetings3–4
Andy Murray 7 meetings1–6

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2310
world-class
Grass Welo
1604
-706 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.450
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2052 (-258)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-3
Clay
Welo1732 (-578)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1604 (-706)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-22
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo59.4%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo61.2%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Adam WaltonVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-22 · G · R326-3 6-4
L vs Sho ShimabukuroBoss Open · 2026-06-11 · H · R324-6 7-6 6-4
W vs Corentin MoutetBoss Open · 2026-06-09 · H · R326-3 6-4
L vs Andrej KovacevicBrisbane International · 2026-01-06 · H · R1286-3 6-4
W vs Aleksandar KovacevicBrisbane ATP 2026 · 2026-01-06 · H ·
L vs Ana KovacevicBrisbane International · 2026-01-06 · H · 1st Round6-3 6-4
L vs Karen KhachanovMiami Open · 2025-03-21 · H · R647-6 6-0
W vs Matthew McDonaldMiami Open · 2025-03-19 · H · R1283-6 6-3 6-4
L vs Jacob FearnleyAustralian Open · 2025-01-13 · H · R1287-6 6-3 7-6
L vs Yibing WuStuttgart · 2023-06-12 · G · R327-5 6-3
Career splits
Overall266-144 (64.9%)
Hard183-96 (65.6%)
Clay41-25 (62.1%)
Grass42-23 (64.6%)
Frequently asked
How old is Nick Kyrgios?

Nick Kyrgios was born on 27 April 1995, making them 31 years old and represents Australia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Nick Kyrgios in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Nick Kyrgios has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Nick Kyrgios's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Nick Kyrgios's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2052 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 2-3.

How does Nick Kyrgios perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.450 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Nick Kyrgios's career win rate?

Nick Kyrgios has won 266 of 410 matches in our database (64.9%). By surface: hard 183-96, clay 41-25, grass 42-23.

What tour does Nick Kyrgios play on?

Nick Kyrgios competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-22. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling