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ATP · Player Profile

Juncheng Shang

ATP · China · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-02-24
At a glance · Juncheng Shang

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 3L streak
Fitness
Returning from break
119 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
119d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 6 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Juncheng Shang sits in the world-class band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 133-86 (60.7%) across 219 matches — hard 81-57, clay 37-20, grass 15-9. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
2003
Clay
1689
Grass
1564
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1050.9%
Hold rate vs 11–5081.8%
Hold rate vs 51–10082.0%
Hold rate vs 100+79.3%

How well Juncheng Shang holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Emilio Gomez 3 meetings3–0
Timo Stodder 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2274
world-class
Hard Welo
2003
-271 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.415
tour-median
Projected Hold
64.0%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2003 (-271)
Hold % (52w)80.5%
Last 52w3-7
Clay
Welo1689 (-585)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1564 (-710)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-02-24
Hold rate service games won84.1%
Break rate return games won12.8%
First serve in 1st serves landing in62.8%
Ace rate aces per service point51.2%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo56.2%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo61.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Daniil MedvedevDubai Tennis Championships · 2026-02-24 · H · R1286-1 6-3
L vs Daniil MedvedevQatar Exxon Mobil Open · 2026-02-16 · H · R1286-4 6-2
L vs Botic Van De ZandschulpAustralian Open · 2026-01-22 · H · R647-6 6-2 6-3
W vs Alberto BautistaAustralian Open · 2026-01-19 · H · R1286-4 6-7 6-4 6-0
L vs Nuno BorgesShanghai Masters · 2025-10-06 · H · R327-6 4-6 6-3
W vs Karen KhachanovShanghai Masters · 2025-10-04 · H · R647-6 6-3
W vs Andrej KovacevicShanghai Masters · 2025-10-02 · H · R1286-4 3-6 6-3
L vs Arthur CazauxChina Open · 2025-09-26 · H · R1280-6 7-6 7-5
L vs Mattia BellucciUS Open · 2025-08-25 · H · R1287-6 1-6 6-3
L vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryWestern & Southern Financial Group Masters · 2025-08-07 · H · R1286-7 7-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall133-86 (60.7%)
Hard81-57 (58.7%)
Clay37-20 (64.9%)
Grass15-9 (62.5%)
Frequently asked
How old is Juncheng Shang?

Juncheng Shang was born on 02 February 2005, making them 21 years old and represents China. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Juncheng Shang in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Juncheng Shang has gone 1-4 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Juncheng Shang's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Juncheng Shang's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2003 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 3-7.

How does Juncheng Shang perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.415 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Juncheng Shang's career win rate?

Juncheng Shang has won 133 of 219 matches in our database (60.7%). By surface: hard 81-57, clay 37-20, grass 15-9.

How often does Juncheng Shang hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Juncheng Shang to hold 64.0% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Juncheng Shang play on?

Juncheng Shang competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-02-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling