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ATP · Player Profile

Jack Draper

ATP · Great Britain · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-23
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Grass
Our model47%Market50%Price1.99Edge+1.7%
At a glance · Jack Draper

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches
Fitness
Active
1 day rest · 1 match in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -151 pts

Model carry-in

Jack Draper sits in the world-class band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 222-115 (65.9%) across 337 matches — hard 184-82, clay 20-20, grass 18-13. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
2129
Clay
1790
Grass
1590
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1077.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5086.0%
Hold rate vs 51–10086.4%
Hold rate vs 100+83.1%

How well Jack Draper holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2244
world-class
Grass Welo
1810
-434 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
1.000
below tour median — fades in pressure moments
Projected Hold
79.3%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2129 (-115)
Hold % (52w)85.7%
Last 52w2-6
Clay
Welo1790 (-453)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Grass
Welo1810 (-434)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-0
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-23
Hold rate service games won77.8%
Break rate return games won21.2%
First serve in 1st serves landing in52.2%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo0.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down15.1%
Collapse rate lost from a set up20.6%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Marcos GironLexus Eastbourne Open · 2026-06-22 · G · R326-4 7-6
L vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-13 · C · R323-6 6-3 4-1
W vs Daniil MedvedevIndian Wells ATP · 2026-03-13 · H ·
L vs Novak DjokovicIndian Wells ATP · 2026-03-12 · H ·
L vs Francisco CerundoloIndian Wells ATP · 2026-03-09 · H ·
L vs Riccardo RobertoIndian Wells ATP · 2026-03-07 · H ·
L vs Arthur RinderknechDubai ATP 2026 · 2026-02-25 · H ·
L vs Quentin HalysDubai ATP 2026 · 2026-02-23 · H ·
L vs Federico Agustin GomezUS Open ATP · 2025-08-25 · H ·
W vs Marin CilicWimbledon ATP · 2025-07-03 · H ·
Career splits
Overall222-115 (65.9%)
Hard184-82 (69.2%)
Clay20-20 (50.0%)
Grass18-13 (58.1%)
Frequently asked
How old is Jack Draper?

Jack Draper was born on 22 December 2001, making them 24 years old and represents Great Britain. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Jack Draper in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jack Draper has gone 2-3 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Jack Draper's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Jack Draper's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2129 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 2-6.

How does Jack Draper perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 1.000 — below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Jack Draper's career win rate?

Jack Draper has won 222 of 337 matches in our database (65.9%). By surface: hard 184-82, clay 20-20, grass 18-13.

How often does Jack Draper hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jack Draper to hold 79.3% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Jack Draper play on?

Jack Draper competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-23. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling