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ATP · Player Profile

Arthur Fils

ATP · France · Updated 22 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-09
At a glance · Arthur Fils

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Long layoff
44 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
44d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 3 months↓ -256 pts

Model carry-in

Arthur Fils sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 194-134 (59.1%) across 328 matches — hard 96-67, clay 88-61, grass 10-5. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
2055
Hard
1923
Grass
1574
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1082.0%
Hold rate vs 11–5085.0%
Hold rate vs 51–10086.0%
Hold rate vs 100+82.7%

How well Arthur Fils holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Quentin Halys 5 meetings4–1
Matteo Arnaldi 5 meetings0–5

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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144W 191L · +15.0% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2191
top tier
Hard Welo
1923
-268 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.437
tour-median
Projected Hold
67.4%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1923 (-268)
Hold % (52w)84.7%
Last 52w13-7
Clay
Welo2055 (-137)
Hold % (52w)92.1%
Last 52w9-1
Grass
Welo1574 (-617)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-09
Hold rate service games won100.0%
Break rate return games won34.8%
First serve in 1st serves landing in62.4%
Ace rate aces per service point59.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo61.3%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo60.2%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Andrea PellegrinoInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R324-0
L vs Jannik SinnerMutua Madrid Open · 2026-05-01 · C · R326-2 6-4
W vs Jiri LeheckaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-29 · C · R326-3 6-4
W vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-28 · C · R326-3 6-4
W vs Emilio NavaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-26 · C · R327-6 6-3
W vs Ignacio BuseMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R326-7 7-6 7-5
W vs Andrey RublevBarcelona Open · 2026-04-19 · C · F6-2 7-6
W vs Rafael JodarBarcelona Open · 2026-04-18 · C · SF3-6 6-3 6-2
W vs Lorenzo MusettiBarcelona Open · 2026-04-17 · C · QF6-3 6-4
W vs Brandon NakashimaBarcelona Open · 2026-04-16 · C · R646-2 6-3
Career splits
Overall194-134 (59.1%)
Hard96-67 (58.9%)
Clay88-61 (59.1%)
Grass10-5 (66.7%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Rafael JodarBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-18 · C@ 1.69 · WON · +1.38u
Backed vs Jiri LeheckaMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-27 · H@ 1.63 · LOST · -1.18u
Faded vs Arthur FilsMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-26 · H@ 2.18 · LOST · -0.71u
Frequently asked
How old is Arthur Fils?

Arthur Fils was born on 12 June 2004, making them 22 years old and represents France. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Arthur Fils in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Arthur Fils has gone 3-2 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Arthur Fils's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Arthur Fils's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 2055 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 9-1.

How does Arthur Fils perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.437 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Arthur Fils's career win rate?

Arthur Fils has won 194 of 328 matches in our database (59.1%). By surface: hard 96-67, clay 88-61, grass 10-5.

How often does Arthur Fils hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Arthur Fils to hold 67.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Arthur Fils?

Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Arthur Fils. Record: 1 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Arthur Fils play on?

Arthur Fils competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Arthur Fils: 1W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-09. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling