fault.betPlayersJose Maria Draper
ATP · Player Profile

Jose Maria Draper

ATP · Spain · Updated 04 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-03-20
At a glance · Jose Maria Draper

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
8 days rest · 4 matches in 28d
Last match
8d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 6 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Jose Maria Draper sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 27-12 (69.2%) across 39 matches — hard 18-5, clay 6-5, grass 3-2. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1890
Clay
1693
Grass
1619

Full data & recent form

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156W 207L · +14.8% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Jose Maria Draper’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2136
top tier
Hard Welo
1890
-247 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.427
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1890 (-247)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w5-3
Clay
Welo1693 (-443)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1619 (-517)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-03-20
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo57.1%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo75.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Ugo HumbertEastbourne International · 2026-06-26 · G · SF7-5 6-3
W vs Gabriel DialloEastbourne International · 2026-06-25 · G · QF6-1 6-4
W vs Jack Pinnington JonesEastbourne International · 2026-06-24 · G · R647-5 6-4
W vs Marcos GironEastbourne International · 2026-06-22 · G · R1286-4 7-6
L vs Reilly OpelkaMiami Open · 2026-03-20 · H · R647-6 7-6
L vs Daniil MedvedevBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-13 · H · QF6-1 7-5
W vs Novak DjokovicBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-12 · H · R164-6 6-4 7-6
W vs Francisco CerundoloBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-09 · H · R326-1 7-5
W vs Alberto BautistaBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-07 · H · R643-6 6-3 6-2
L vs Arthur RinderknechDubai Tennis Championships · 2026-02-25 · H · R647-5 6-7 6-4
Career splits
Overall27-12 (69.2%)
Hard18-5 (78.3%)
Clay6-5 (54.5%)
Grass3-2 (60.0%)
Frequently asked
Is Jose Maria Draper in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jose Maria Draper has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Jose Maria Draper's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Jose Maria Draper's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1890 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 5-3.

How does Jose Maria Draper perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.427 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Jose Maria Draper's career win rate?

Jose Maria Draper has won 27 of 39 matches in our database (69.2%). By surface: hard 18-5, clay 6-5, grass 3-2.

What tour does Jose Maria Draper play on?

Jose Maria Draper competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-03-20. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling