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ATP · Player Profile

Ben Shelton

ATP · United States · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-15
At a glance · Ben Shelton

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Heavy match load
2 days rest · 9 matches in 28d
Last match
2d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -294 pts

Model carry-in

Ben Shelton sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 172-87 (66.4%) across 259 matches — hard 149-61, clay 17-19, grass 6-7. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
2025
Clay
1775
Grass
1543
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1090.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5086.3%
Hold rate vs 51–10089.4%
Hold rate vs 100+94.0%

How well Ben Shelton holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Aleksandar Kovacevic 5 meetings3–2
Christopher Eubanks 4 meetings3–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1985
tour median
Grass Welo
1591
-393 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.182
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
89.5%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2025 (+41)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w41-7
Clay
Welo1775 (-210)
Hold % (52w)94.0%
Last 52w2-3
Grass
Welo1591 (-393)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-15
Hold rate service games won86.1%
Break rate return games won13.4%
First serve in 1st serves landing in66.8%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo66.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down44.5%
Collapse rate lost from a set up19.6%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Taylor FritzTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-19 · H · R326-7 7-6 7-6
W vs Ethan QuinnTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-18 · H · R326-4 5-7 6-4
W vs Lorenzo SonegoTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R327-5 6-3
W vs Taylor FritzBoss Open · 2026-06-14 · H · R326-4 2-6 6-4
W vs Sho ShimabukuroBoss Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R324-6 6-3 6-4
W vs Jiri LeheckaBoss Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R326-7 7-6 7-6
W vs Marcos GironBoss Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R326-7 6-4 7-6
L vs Raphael CollignonRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R326-4 7-5 6-4
W vs Daniel MeridaRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-3 6-3 6-4
L vs Daniel AltmaierBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C · R324-6 7-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall172-87 (66.4%)
Hard149-61 (71.0%)
Clay17-19 (47.2%)
Grass6-7 (46.2%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Ben SheltonRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C@ 2.96 · WON · +1.04u
Faded vs Ben SheltonRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C@ 4.10 · LOST · -0.48u
Faded vs Ben SheltonBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C@ 3.15 · WON · +1.12u
Faded vs Ben SheltonBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-18 · C@ 3.60 · LOST · -0.51u
Faded vs Ben SheltonInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · C@ 4.20 · WON · +1.54u
Frequently asked
How old is Ben Shelton?

Ben Shelton was born on 09 October 2002, making them 23 years old and represents United States. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Ben Shelton in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Ben Shelton has gone 4-1 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Ben Shelton's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Ben Shelton's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2025 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 41-7.

How does Ben Shelton perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.182 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Ben Shelton's career win rate?

Ben Shelton has won 172 of 259 matches in our database (66.4%). By surface: hard 149-61, clay 17-19, grass 6-7.

How often does Ben Shelton hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Ben Shelton to hold 89.5% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Ben Shelton?

Yes — we've issued 5 settled signals involving Ben Shelton. Record: 3 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Ben Shelton play on?

Ben Shelton competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Ben Shelton: 3W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-15. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling