Denis Shapovalov
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1889.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Denis Shapovalov sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 319-245 (56.6%) across 564 matches — hard 236-168, clay 57-51, grass 26-26. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Denis Shapovalov holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Denis Shapovalov?
Denis Shapovalov was born on 15 April 1999, making them 27 years old and represents Canada. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Denis Shapovalov in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Denis Shapovalov has gone 1-4 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Denis Shapovalov's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Denis Shapovalov's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1889 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 17-22.
How does Denis Shapovalov perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.474 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Denis Shapovalov's career win rate?
Denis Shapovalov has won 319 of 564 matches in our database (56.6%). By surface: hard 236-168, clay 57-51, grass 26-26.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Denis Shapovalov?
Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Denis Shapovalov. Record: 0 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Denis Shapovalov play on?
Denis Shapovalov competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-17. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling