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ATP · Player Profile

Stefanos Tsitsipas

ATP · Greece · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Ignacio Buse
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Grass
Our model45%Edge0.0%
At a glance · Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Active
24 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
24d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 9 months↓ -144 pts

Model carry-in

Stefanos Tsitsipas sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 515-259 (66.5%) across 774 matches — hard 300-173, clay 188-66, grass 27-20. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1982
Clay
1978
Grass
1677
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1079.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5085.7%
Hold rate vs 51–10089.7%
Hold rate vs 100+89.3%

How well Stefanos Tsitsipas holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Dominic Thiem 11 meetings6–5

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1924
tour median
Grass Welo
1678
-246 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.542
tour-median
Projected Hold
90.3%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1982 (+58)
Hold % (52w)86.4%
Last 52w11-10
Clay
Welo1978 (+54)
Hold % (52w)96.8%
Last 52w5-5
Grass
Welo1678 (-246)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won84.7%
Break rate return games won16.0%
First serve in 1st serves landing in61.1%
Ace rate aces per service point19.9%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo53.3%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo30.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down41.2%
Collapse rate lost from a set up44.4%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Matteo ArnaldiRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R327-6 5-7 6-3 6-2
W vs Alexandre MullerRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R326-2 3-0
L vs Learner TienGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R327-6 7-6
W vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-18 · C · R326-4 7-6
L vs Tomas MachacInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R326-4 7-6
L vs Casper RuudMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-28 · C · R326-7 7-6 7-6
W vs Daniel MeridaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-27 · C · R326-4 6-2
W vs Alexander BublikMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C · R326-2 7-5
W vs Patrick KypsonMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R323-6 7-6 7-6
L vs Fabian MarozsanBMW Open · 2026-04-15 · C · R1283-6 7-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall515-259 (66.5%)
Hard300-173 (63.4%)
Clay188-66 (74.0%)
Grass27-20 (57.4%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Alexander BublikMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C@ 2.60 · WON · +1.47u
Backed vs Francisco CerundoloRolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2026-04-06 · C@ 2.08 · LOST · -1.15u
Faded vs Stefanos TsitsipasMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-20 · H@ 1.44 · WON · +0.88u
Frequently asked
How old is Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Stefanos Tsitsipas was born on 12 August 1998, making them 27 years old and represents Greece. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Stefanos Tsitsipas in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Stefanos Tsitsipas has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Stefanos Tsitsipas's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Stefanos Tsitsipas's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1982 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 11-10.

How does Stefanos Tsitsipas perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.542 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Stefanos Tsitsipas's career win rate?

Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 515 of 774 matches in our database (66.5%). By surface: hard 300-173, clay 188-66, grass 27-20.

How often does Stefanos Tsitsipas hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Stefanos Tsitsipas to hold 90.3% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Stefanos Tsitsipas. Record: 2 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Stefanos Tsitsipas play on?

Stefanos Tsitsipas competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Stefanos Tsitsipas: 2W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling