fault.betPlayersFelix Auger-Aliassime
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ATP · Player Profile

Felix Auger-Aliassime

ATP · Canada · Updated 22 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-30
At a glance · Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Tournament grinder
3 days rest · 10 matches in 28d
Last match
3d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -274 pts

Model carry-in

Felix Auger-Aliassime sits in the challenger crossover band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 388-236 (62.2%) across 624 matches — hard 240-146, clay 123-75, grass 25-15. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1931
Hard
1926
Grass
1639
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1076.7%
Hold rate vs 11–5082.3%
Hold rate vs 51–10078.5%
Hold rate vs 100+91.3%

How well Felix Auger-Aliassime holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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144W 191L · +15.0% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1820
challenger crossover
Clay Welo
1850
+30 above overall · surface specialism
Choke Index
0.400
tour-median
Projected Hold
83.8%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1926 (+106)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w36-14
Clay
Welo1850 (+30)
Hold % (52w)88.3%
Last 52w8-5
Grass
Welo1639 (-182)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-30
Hold rate service games won82.0%
Break rate return games won17.4%
First serve in 1st serves landing in68.6%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo20.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo33.3%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down20.0%
Collapse rate lost from a set up29.7%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Frances TiafoeTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-19 · H · R323-6 6-3 7-6
W vs Learner TienTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R326-7 7-5 7-6
W vs Nuno BorgesTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-3 3-6 6-3
L vs Kamil MajchrzakLibéma Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R326-4 6-3
W vs Marton FucsovicsLibéma Open · 2026-06-11 · H · R326-3 6-4
L vs Flavio CobolliRoland Garros · 2026-06-03 · C · R324-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
W vs Alejandro TabiloRoland Garros · 2026-06-01 · C · R326-3 7-5 6-1
W vs Brandon NakashimaRoland Garros · 2026-05-30 · C · R325-7 6-1 7-6 7-6
W vs Roman Andres BurruchagaRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R324-6 6-0 7-5 6-1
W vs Daniel AltmaierRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R324-6 6-4 4-6 6-1 7-6
Career splits
Overall388-236 (62.2%)
Hard240-146 (62.2%)
Clay123-75 (62.1%)
Grass25-15 (62.5%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Felix Auger-AliassimeTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-19 · H@ 2.34 · WON · +1.02u
Faded vs Felix Auger-AliassimeTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-17 · H@ 2.40 · LOST · -0.83u
Faded vs Felix Auger-AliassimeRoland Garros · 2026-05-30 · C@ 3.05 · LOST · -0.82u
Faded vs Felix Auger-AliassimeRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C@ 3.35 · LOST · -0.53u
Faded vs Felix Auger-AliassimeBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C@ 2.96 · VOID
Frequently asked
How old is Felix Auger-Aliassime?

Felix Auger-Aliassime was born on 08 August 2000, making them 25 years old and represents Canada. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Felix Auger-Aliassime in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Felix Auger-Aliassime has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Felix Auger-Aliassime's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Felix Auger-Aliassime's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1931 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 8-5.

How does Felix Auger-Aliassime perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.400 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Felix Auger-Aliassime's career win rate?

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won 388 of 624 matches in our database (62.2%). By surface: hard 240-146, clay 123-75, grass 25-15.

How often does Felix Auger-Aliassime hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Felix Auger-Aliassime to hold 83.8% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Felix Auger-Aliassime?

Yes — we've issued 4 settled signals involving Felix Auger-Aliassime. Record: 1 wins, 3 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Felix Auger-Aliassime play on?

Felix Auger-Aliassime competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Felix Auger-Aliassime: 1W 3L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-30. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling