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ATP · Player Profile

Ugo Humbert

ATP · France · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Mattia Bellucci
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Grass
Our model32%Edge0.0%
At a glance · Ugo Humbert

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Tournament grinder
1 day rest · 8 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 12 months↓ -43 pts

Model carry-in

Ugo Humbert sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 622-458 (57.6%) across 1080 matches — hard 447-310, clay 125-106, grass 30-31. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1916
Clay
1816
Grass
1609
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1082.2%
Hold rate vs 11–5086.7%
Hold rate vs 51–10088.1%
Hold rate vs 100+90.5%

How well Ugo Humbert holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1950
tour median
Grass Welo
1643
-307 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.431
tour-median
Projected Hold
85.4%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1916 (-34)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w28-24
Clay
Welo1816 (-134)
Hold % (52w)91.7%
Last 52w5-4
Grass
Welo1643 (-307)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won83.2%
Break rate return games won15.3%
First serve in 1st serves landing in59.3%
Ace rate aces per service point16.8%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo48.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo42.9%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down24.7%
Collapse rate lost from a set up25.0%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Tommy PaulHSBC Championships · 2026-06-20 · H · R326-3 6-3
W vs Rinky HijikataHSBC Championships · 2026-06-19 · H · R326-1 6-2
W vs Hamad MedjedovicHSBC Championships · 2026-06-19 · H · R322-6 7-6 7-6
W vs Marin CilicHSBC Championships · 2026-06-16 · H · R327-5 6-3
L vs Benjamin BonziLibéma Open · 2026-06-11 · H · R326-4 3-6 6-3
W vs Elias YmerLibéma Open · 2026-06-08 · H · R326-4 6-3
L vs Quentin HalysRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-4 7-6 7-6
W vs Adrian MannarinoRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-3 6-4 6-3
L vs Ignacio BuseBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C · R326-3 5-7 6-3
W vs Karen KhachanovBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-3 3-6 7-6
Career splits
Overall622-458 (57.6%)
Hard447-310 (59.0%)
Clay125-106 (54.1%)
Grass30-31 (49.2%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Ugo HumbertHSBC Championships · 2026-06-16 · H@ 2.28 · LOST · -0.81u
Faded vs Ugo HumbertATP 's-Hertogenbosch 2026 · 2026-06-10 · G@ 2.82 · WON · +1.62u
Backed vs Karen KhachanovBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C@ 3.40 · WON
Faded vs Ugo HumbertBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C@ 3.95 · LOST · -0.49u
Backed vs Dino PrizmicInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-10 · C@ 3.25 · LOST · -0.53u
Backed vs Francisco CerundoloMiami Open · 2026-03-24 · H@ 1.97 · LOST · -2.00u
Backed vs Francisco CerundoloMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-24 · H@ 1.93 · LOST · -2.00u
Backed vs Alexander ShevchenkoMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-23 · H@ 1.25 · WON · +0.50u
Frequently asked
How old is Ugo Humbert?

Ugo Humbert was born on 26 June 1998, making them 27 years old and represents France. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Ugo Humbert in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Ugo Humbert has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Ugo Humbert's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Ugo Humbert's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1916 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 28-24.

How does Ugo Humbert perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.431 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Ugo Humbert's career win rate?

Ugo Humbert has won 622 of 1080 matches in our database (57.6%). By surface: hard 447-310, clay 125-106, grass 30-31.

How often does Ugo Humbert hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Ugo Humbert to hold 85.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Ugo Humbert?

Yes — we've issued 8 settled signals involving Ugo Humbert. Record: 3 wins, 5 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Ugo Humbert play on?

Ugo Humbert competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Ugo Humbert: 3W 5L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling