Tommy Paul
- Strongest on clay — weighted Elo 1887.
- On a 4-match winning streak in our database.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Tommy Paul sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 412-247 (62.5%) across 659 matches — hard 268-167, clay 112-64, grass 32-16. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Tommy Paul holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Tommy Paul?
Tommy Paul was born on 17 May 1997, making them 29 years old and represents United States. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Tommy Paul in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Tommy Paul has gone 4-1 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Tommy Paul's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Tommy Paul's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1887 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 6-2.
How does Tommy Paul perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.278 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Tommy Paul's career win rate?
Tommy Paul has won 412 of 659 matches in our database (62.5%). By surface: hard 268-167, clay 112-64, grass 32-16.
How often does Tommy Paul hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Tommy Paul to hold 87.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Tommy Paul?
Yes — we've issued 6 settled signals involving Tommy Paul. Record: 2 wins, 4 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Tommy Paul play on?
Tommy Paul competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling