fault.betPlayersDaniel Evans
ATP · Player Profile

Daniel Evans

ATP · Great Britain · Updated 04 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-24
At a glance · Daniel Evans

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
10 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
10d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -23 pts

Model carry-in

Daniel Evans sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 547-374 (59.4%) across 921 matches — hard 402-251, clay 48-56, grass 91-62. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1908
Grass
1704
Clay
1696
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1062.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5074.1%
Hold rate vs 51–10074.7%
Hold rate vs 100+82.9%

How well Daniel Evans holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Joshua Milton 10 meetings9–1
Josh Goodall 10 meetings4–6
Daniel Cox 9 meetings7–2
Edward Corrie 8 meetings5–3

Full data & recent form

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A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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156W 207L · +14.8% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Daniel Evans’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2122
top tier
Grass Welo
1704
-418 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.407
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1908 (-213)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Clay
Welo1696 (-426)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Grass
Welo1704 (-418)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-24
Hold rate service games won84.6%
Break rate return games won33.3%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo52.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo54.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Tristan SchoolkateWimbledon · 2026-06-24 · G · R327-5 6-0
W vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloWimbledon · 2026-06-22 · G · R327-6 6-3
L vs Daniel JadeRoland Garros · 2026-05-18 · C · R326-4 6-4
W vs Corentin MoutetWashington ATP · 2025-07-24 · H ·
L vs Alex MichelsenWashington ATP · 2025-07-22 · H ·
W vs Zizou BergsWashington ATP · 2025-07-21 · H ·
L vs Novak DjokovicWimbledon · 2025-07-03 · G · R646-3 6-2 6-0
W vs Jonathan ClarkeWimbledon · 2025-07-01 · G · R1286-1 7-5 6-2
L vs Jenson BrooksbyEastbourne ATP · 2025-06-26 · H ·
W vs Tommy PaulEastbourne ATP · 2025-06-25 · H ·
Career splits
Overall547-374 (59.4%)
Hard402-251 (61.6%)
Clay48-56 (46.2%)
Grass91-62 (59.5%)
Frequently asked
How old is Daniel Evans?

Daniel Evans was born on 23 May 1990, making them 36 years old and represents Great Britain. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Daniel Evans in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Daniel Evans has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Daniel Evans's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Daniel Evans's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1908 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 2-1.

How does Daniel Evans perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.407 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Daniel Evans's career win rate?

Daniel Evans has won 547 of 921 matches in our database (59.4%). By surface: hard 402-251, clay 48-56, grass 91-62.

What tour does Daniel Evans play on?

Daniel Evans competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling