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ATP · Player Profile

Ilya Ivashka

ATP · Belarus · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-03-29
At a glance · Ilya Ivashka

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches
Fitness
Long layoff
86 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
86d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d

Model carry-in

Ilya Ivashka sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as below tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 326-236 (58.0%) across 562 matches — hard 253-169, clay 43-43, grass 21-19. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1943
Clay
1699
Grass
1569
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1065.7%
Hold rate vs 11–5070.3%
Hold rate vs 51–10063.7%
Hold rate vs 100+76.2%

How well Ilya Ivashka holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Egor Gerasimov 7 meetings4–3
Mackenzie Mcdonald 7 meetings4–3
Emil Ruusuvuori 6 meetings5–1
Evgeny Donskoy 5 meetings3–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2167
top tier
Hard Welo
1943
-224 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.427
tour-median
Projected Hold
59.1%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1943 (-224)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-0
Clay
Welo1699 (-468)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1569 (-598)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-03-29
Hold rate service games won75.0%
Break rate return games won26.7%
First serve in 1st serves landing in60.1%
Ace rate aces per service point25.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo48.8%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo52.4%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerMarrakech ATP 2026 · 2026-03-29 · H ·
L vs Oliver CrawfordAustralian Open · 2024-01-15 · H · Q16-3 3-6 6-1
L vs Thiago Agustin TiranteMalaga CH · 2023-10-09 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Juan Manuel CerundoloUs Open · 2023-08-28 · H · R1282-6 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3 6-3
L vs Zhizhen ZhangWinston-Salem · 2023-08-21 · H · R644-6 7-6(7) 6-2
L vs Alexei PopyrinCincinnati Masters · 2023-08-14 · H · Q16-2 4-6 6-4
L vs Matija PecoticCanada Masters · 2023-08-07 · H · Q16-2 7-6(3)
L vs Borna CoricLos Cabos · 2023-07-31 · H · QF6-3 6-4
W vs Borna GojoLos Cabos · 2023-07-31 · H · R165-7 6-2 6-4
W vs Beibit ZhukayevLos Cabos · 2023-07-31 · H · R323-6 6-3 7-6(5)
Career splits
Overall326-236 (58.0%)
Hard253-169 (60.0%)
Clay43-43 (50.0%)
Grass21-19 (52.5%)
Frequently asked
How old is Ilya Ivashka?

Ilya Ivashka was born on 24 February 1994, making them 32 years old and represents Belarus. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Ilya Ivashka in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Ilya Ivashka has gone 1-4 (W-L-L-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Ilya Ivashka's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Ilya Ivashka's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1943 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 1-0.

How does Ilya Ivashka perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.427 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Ilya Ivashka's career win rate?

Ilya Ivashka has won 326 of 562 matches in our database (58.0%). By surface: hard 253-169, clay 43-43, grass 21-19.

How often does Ilya Ivashka hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Ilya Ivashka to hold 59.1% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Ilya Ivashka play on?

Ilya Ivashka competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-03-29. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling