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ATP · Player Profile

Hubert Hurkacz

ATP · Poland · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-10
At a glance · Hubert Hurkacz

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
6 days rest · 4 matches in 28d
Last match
6d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 4 months↓ -166 pts

Model carry-in

Hubert Hurkacz sits in the challenger crossover band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 395-250 (61.2%) across 645 matches — hard 257-166, clay 111-66, grass 27-16. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1966
Hard
1843
Grass
1593
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1086.7%
Hold rate vs 11–5089.2%
Hold rate vs 51–10089.4%
Hold rate vs 100+92.4%

How well Hubert Hurkacz holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1857
challenger crossover
Grass Welo
1853
in line with overall (-4)
Choke Index
0.531
tour-median
Projected Hold
84.8%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1843
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-10
Clay
Welo1966 (+109)
Hold % (52w)87.8%
Last 52w4-3
Grass
Welo1853
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-10
Hold rate service games won83.8%
Break rate return games won14.9%
First serve in 1st serves landing in60.7%
Ace rate aces per service point11.8%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo28.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down18.6%
Collapse rate lost from a set up42.2%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Daniel AltmaierTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R323-6 6-3 7-5
W vs Andrey RublevTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Marton FucsovicsLibéma Open · 2026-06-10 · H · R323-6 7-6 7-6
L vs Frances TiafoeRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R326-7 7-6 6-4 6-7 6-4
W vs Jaume MunarRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-3 6-3 2-6 6-3
L vs Yannick HanfmannInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · H · R326-7 7-6 6-2
L vs Lorenzo MusettiMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R326-4 7-6
W vs Jaime FariaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-22 · C · R326-3 6-3
L vs Valentin VacherotMonte Carlo Masters · 2026-04-09 · C · R326-7 6-3 6-4
W vs Fabian MarozsanMonte Carlo Masters · 2026-04-08 · C · R646-2 6-3
Career splits
Overall395-250 (61.2%)
Hard257-166 (60.8%)
Clay111-66 (62.7%)
Grass27-16 (62.8%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Hubert HurkaczInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · C@ 2.38 · WON · +1.02u
Backed vs Valentin VacherotRolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2026-04-09 · C@ 2.32 · LOST · -1.88u
Frequently asked
How old is Hubert Hurkacz?

Hubert Hurkacz was born on 11 February 1997, making them 29 years old and represents Poland. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Hubert Hurkacz in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Hubert Hurkacz has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Hubert Hurkacz's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Hubert Hurkacz's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1966 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 4-3.

How does Hubert Hurkacz perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.531 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Hubert Hurkacz's career win rate?

Hubert Hurkacz has won 395 of 645 matches in our database (61.2%). By surface: hard 257-166, clay 111-66, grass 27-16.

How often does Hubert Hurkacz hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Hubert Hurkacz to hold 84.8% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Hubert Hurkacz?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Hubert Hurkacz. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Hubert Hurkacz play on?

Hubert Hurkacz competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Hubert Hurkacz: 1W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-10. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling