Reilly Opelka
- Holds serve 83% of the time even against top-10 opposition.
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 2036.
- On a 5-match losing streak in our database.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Reilly Opelka sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 223-188 (54.3%) across 411 matches — hard 168-126, clay 44-46, grass 11-16. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Reilly Opelka holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Reilly Opelka?
Reilly Opelka was born on 28 August 1997, making them 28 years old and represents United States. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Reilly Opelka in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Reilly Opelka has gone 0-5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Reilly Opelka's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Reilly Opelka's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2036 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 14-13.
How does Reilly Opelka perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.574 — below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Reilly Opelka's career win rate?
Reilly Opelka has won 223 of 411 matches in our database (54.3%). By surface: hard 168-126, clay 44-46, grass 11-16.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Reilly Opelka?
Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Reilly Opelka. Record: 2 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Reilly Opelka play on?
Reilly Opelka competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
Daily ATP signals + full player dashboards
Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium
Try free for 7 days →Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Reilly Opelka is next on court. Free.
Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling