Matteo Berrettini
- Holds serve 85% of the time even against top-10 opposition.
- Strongest on clay — weighted Elo 1977.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Matteo Berrettini sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 346-193 (64.2%) across 539 matches — hard 187-128, clay 107-50, grass 45-13. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Matteo Berrettini holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Matteo Berrettini?
Matteo Berrettini was born on 12 April 1996, making them 30 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Matteo Berrettini in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Matteo Berrettini has gone 4-1 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Matteo Berrettini's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Matteo Berrettini's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1977 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 6-5.
How does Matteo Berrettini perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.410 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Matteo Berrettini's career win rate?
Matteo Berrettini has won 346 of 539 matches in our database (64.2%). By surface: hard 187-128, clay 107-50, grass 45-13.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Matteo Berrettini?
Yes — we've issued 4 settled signals involving Matteo Berrettini. Record: 2 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Matteo Berrettini play on?
Matteo Berrettini competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-03. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling