fault.betPlayersKaren Khachanov
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ATP · Player Profile

Karen Khachanov

ATP · Russia · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-16
At a glance · Karen Khachanov

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -60 pts

Model carry-in

Karen Khachanov sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 441-302 (59.4%) across 743 matches — hard 300-203, clay 108-79, grass 33-19. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1935
Hard
1915
Grass
1695
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1066.1%
Hold rate vs 11–5082.6%
Hold rate vs 51–10084.7%
Hold rate vs 100+84.4%

How well Karen Khachanov holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Aslan Karatsev 8 meetings6–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2123
top tier
Hard Welo
1915
-208 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.451
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1915 (-208)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w20-19
Clay
Welo1935 (-188)
Hold % (52w)83.1%
Last 52w4-6
Grass
Welo1695 (-428)
Hold % (52w)88.7%
Last 52w4-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-16
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo52.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo53.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Ethan QuinnTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R321-6 6-4 6-4
L vs Jesper De JongRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R327-5 5-7 6-2 6-7 6-2
W vs Marco TrungellitiRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R327-6 5-7 6-1 7-6
W vs Arthur GeaRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R326-3 7-6 6-0
L vs Ugo HumbertBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-3 3-6 7-6
W vs Hugo GastonBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C · R323-6 6-3 7-6
L vs Christian RuudInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-13 · C · QF6-1 1-6 6-2
L vs Casper RuudInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-13 · H · R326-1 1-6 6-2
W vs Dino PrizmicInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-12 · H · R326-1 7-6
W vs Botic Van De ZandschulpInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-10 · H · R325-7 6-4 6-4
Career splits
Overall441-302 (59.4%)
Hard300-203 (59.6%)
Clay108-79 (57.8%)
Grass33-19 (63.5%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Karen KhachanovRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C@ 3.35 · WON · +1.22u
Faded vs Karen KhachanovRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C@ 4.20 · LOST · -0.48u
Faded vs Karen KhachanovRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C@ 4.50 · LOST
Faded vs Karen KhachanovBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C@ 3.40 · WON
Backed vs Dino PrizmicInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-12 · C@ 2.86 · WON · +1.64u
Faded vs Karen KhachanovMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-22 · H@ 3.35 · LOST · -0.42u
Backed vs Martin LandaluceMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-22 · H@ 1.93 · WON · +0.85u
Frequently asked
How old is Karen Khachanov?

Karen Khachanov was born on 21 May 1996, making them 30 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Karen Khachanov in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Karen Khachanov has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Karen Khachanov's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Karen Khachanov's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1935 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 4-6.

How does Karen Khachanov perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.451 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Karen Khachanov's career win rate?

Karen Khachanov has won 441 of 743 matches in our database (59.4%). By surface: hard 300-203, clay 108-79, grass 33-19.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Karen Khachanov?

Yes — we've issued 7 settled signals involving Karen Khachanov. Record: 4 wins, 3 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Karen Khachanov play on?

Karen Khachanov competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Karen Khachanov: 4W 3L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-16. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling